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Where Would We Be Without Counterfactuals?

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New Directions in the Philosophy of Science

Part of the book series: The Philosophy of Science in a European Perspective ((PSEP,volume 5))

Abstract

Bertrand Russell’s celebrated essay “On the Notion of Cause” was first delivered to the Aristotelian Society on 4 November 1912, as Russell’s Presidential Address. The piece is best known for a passage in which its author deftly positions himself between the traditional metaphysics of causation and the British crown, firing broadsides in both directions: “The law of causality”, Russell declares, “Like much that passes muster in philosophy, is a relic of a bygone age, surviving, like the monarchy, only because it is erroneously supposed to do no harm.” To mark the lecture’s centenary, I offer a contemporary view of the issues Russell here puts on the table, and of the health or otherwise, at the end of the essay’s first century, of his notorious conclusion.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    This piece was written for delivery on 1 November 2012, as my inaugural lecture as the Bertrand Russell Professor of Philosophy, Cambridge. I am very grateful to Maria Carla Galavotti and the organisers of “New Directions in Philosophy of Science” for the invitation that enabled me to give the lecture as a dress rehearsal in Bertinoro on 20 October 2012, and to the audience on that occasion for many helpful comments and questions.

  2. 2.

    This problem has also been much discussed in recent literature, especially by way of criticism of David Lewis’s attempt, mentioned above, to explain a corresponding asymmetry of counterfactual dependence, to which that of causation might then be reduced. See, e.g., Price and Weslake (2009) and references therein.

  3. 3.

    This deletion is present in the manuscript of Ramsey’s paper.

  4. 4.

    See Price (1996) for an introduction to the issue.

  5. 5.

    Interestingly, Dummett’s discussion can be taken to show how the usual objections to backward causation rely on the same tension between knowledge and free action that lies at the heart of Ramsey’s proposal – see Ahmed and Price (2012), Sect. 3, Price (2012).

  6. 6.

    Itself traceable presumably to the thermodynamic asymmetry, though I haven’t said anything about that here. See Price and Weslake (2009) and Price (2007).

  7. 7.

    The heirs to the monarchies of Europe don’t have that opportunity, of course. It is true that in principle they could abdicate, but at considerable cost – like it or not, they are public figures, after all – and only by passing the unasked-for obligation to a sibling or cousin.

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Price, H. (2014). Where Would We Be Without Counterfactuals?. In: Galavotti, M., Dieks, D., Gonzalez, W., Hartmann, S., Uebel, T., Weber, M. (eds) New Directions in the Philosophy of Science. The Philosophy of Science in a European Perspective, vol 5. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-04382-1_42

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