Digital Library

of the European Council for Modelling and Simulation

Title:

Traceability In Evidence-Based Policy Simulation

Authors:

Ulf Lotzmann, Maria A. Wimmer

Published in:

(2013).ECMS 2013 Proceedings edited by: W. Rekdalsbakken, R. T. Bye, H. Zhang  European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2013

ISBN: 978-0-9564944-6-7

27^th European Conference on Modelling and Simulation,

Aalesund, Norway, May 27^th – 30^th, 2013

Citation format:

Ulf Lotzmann, Maria A. Wimmer (2013). Traceability In Evidence-Based Policy Simulation, ECMS 2013 Proceedings edited by: W. Rekdalsbakken, R. T. Bye, H. Zhang, European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2013-0696

DOI:

http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2013-0696

Abstract:

In the field of policy modelling, a trend to growing complexity of simulation models can be observed. One of the reasons for this development is the fact that for many policy cases of practical interest there are no theories available from which "simple" simulation models could be derived. Instead a sometimes vast amount of information - scenarios describing stakeholders views, documents providing background information - has to be taken into account by the simulation model. Such models are usually referred to as "evidence-based models". In order to foster the use of the simulation method for decision-making, a constructive and structured approach for converting the evidence base into a simulation model is advised.

This paper outlines such a novel approach, which has been developed within the OCOPOMO project. This approach basically consists of a policy development process specification, and a software toolbox supporting this process. Main focus of this paper are simulation related aspects of both the process and the toolbox, with the aim to demonstrate role and benefits of traceability along the process of modelling, simulation and result analysis.

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