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Link to original content: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-015-2065-y
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Classifying component failures of a hybrid electric vehicle fleet based on load spectrum data

Balanced random forest approaches employing uni- and multivariate decision trees

  • Predictive Analytics Using Machine Learning
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Abstract

Component failures in hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) can cause high warranty costs for car manufacturers. Hence, in order to (1) predict whether a component of the hybrid power-train of a HEV is faulty, and (2) to identify loads related to component failures, we train several random forest variants on so-called load spectrum data, i.e., the state-of-the-art data employed for calculating the fatigue life of components in fatigue analysis. We propose a parameter tuning framework that enables the studied random forest models, formed by univariate and multivariate decision trees, respectively, to handle the class imbalance problem of our dataset and to select only a small number of relevant variables in order to improve classification performance and to identify failure-related variables. By achieving an average balanced accuracy value of 85.2 %, while reducing the number of variables used from 590 to 22 variables, our results for failures of the hybrid car battery (approx. 200 faulty, 7000 non-faulty vehicles) demonstrate that especially balanced random forests using univariate decision trees achieve promising classification results on load spectrum data. Moreover, the selected variables can be related to component failures of the hybrid power-train.

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Acknowledgments

P. Bergmeir participates in the doctoral program “Promotionskolleg HYBRID”, funded by the Ministry for Science, Research and Arts Baden-Württemberg, Germany. For computational resources, the authors acknowledge the bwGRiD (http://www.bw-grid.de), member of the German D-Grid initiative, funded by the Ministry for Education and Research and the Ministry for Science, Research and Arts Baden-Württemberg, Germany.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Information Technology, Esslingen University of Applied Sciences, Flandernstr. 101, 73732, Esslingen, Germany

    Philipp Bergmeir & Jürgen Nonnast

  2. Daimler AG, Mercedes-Benz Sindelfingen Plant, Bela-Barenyi-Str. 14, 71063, Sindelfingen, Germany

    Christof Nitsche

  3. Institute for Internal Combustion Engines and Automotive Engineering, University of Stuttgart, Pfaffenwaldring 12, 70569, Stuttgart, Germany

    Michael Bargende

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  1. Philipp Bergmeir
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Correspondence to Philipp Bergmeir.

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Bergmeir, P., Nitsche, C., Nonnast, J. et al. Classifying component failures of a hybrid electric vehicle fleet based on load spectrum data. Neural Comput & Applic 27, 2289–2304 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-015-2065-y

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