Conclusion
Although the kind of reform that is needed will vary across countries, all countries should have a vision of where they are going in the long run. This vision should include separate mechanisms for redistribution and savings along with shared responsibility between the public and private sectors.
The right share of responsibility for each pillar will not be the same for all times and places. It depends on a country’s objectives, history, and current circumstances, particularly the relative strength of its redistributive and savings goals, its financial market development, and its taxing and regulatory capability. The pace at which a mandatory multipillar system should be introduced will also vary—from quick in middle- and high-income countries whose systems are in serious trouble to very slow in low-income countries, which should avoid these same mistakes.
Tackling pension reform won’t be easy and talk of reform elicits strong emotions, especially in countries where expectations of generous pensions have been built up through the years. Nonetheless, change in current systems is inevitable and the longer reform is delayed, the more urgent and difficult it becomes. Countriescan avert the old age crisis. To do so, they should begin planning and educating the public now.
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This paper is based onAverting the Old Age Crisis: Policies to Protect the Old and Promote Growth, World Bank and Oxford University Press, 1995, and draws heavily on parts of that report.
Estelle James is Lead Economist, Policy Research Department, at the World Bank. She is the lead author ofAverting the Old Age Crisis: Policies to Protect the Old and Promote Growth, a World Bank study that provides the first global analysis of economic problems associated with population aging. Before joining the Bank, she was professor of economics at the State University of New York, Stony Brook. Dr. James has written several books and numerous articles on various aspects of public finance and human resources. She received her Ph.D. from Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
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James, E. Averting the old age crisis. Ageing International 22, 15–22 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02681086
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02681086