Abstract
Landslide is a natural disaster that can easily threaten local ecology, people’s lives and property. In this paper, we conduct modelling research on real unidirectional surface displacement data of recent landslides in the research area and propose a time series prediction framework named VMD-SegSigmoid-XGBoost-ClusterLSTM (VSXC-LSTM) based on variational mode decomposition, which can predict the landslide surface displacement more accurately. The model performs well on the test set. Except for the random item subsequence that is hard to fit, the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the trend item subsequence and the periodic item subsequence are both less than 0.1, and the RMSE is as low as 0.006 for the periodic item prediction module based on XGBoost.
M. Kong and R. Li—Contributed equally to this work.
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Acknowledgements
This study was supported by Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province (grant number 2022JJ30673) and by the Graduate Innovation Project of Central South University (2023XQLH032, 2023ZZTS0304).
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Kong, M. et al. (2023). Landslide Surface Displacement Prediction Based on VSXC-LSTM Algorithm. In: Iliadis, L., Papaleonidas, A., Angelov, P., Jayne, C. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2023. ICANN 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 14261. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-44198-1_38
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