California's 47th Congressional District election, 2020

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California's 47th Congressional District
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Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 6, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Alan Lowenthal (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in California
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
California's 47th Congressional District
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California elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 47th Congressional District of California, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal won election in the general election for U.S. House California District 47.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 6, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Alan Lowenthal, who was first elected in 2012. The race was one of 56 U.S. House rematches from 2018.


California's 47th Congressional District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, California's 47th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 62.5 63.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 35.3 36.7
Difference 27.2 26.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

California modified its absentee/mail-in and in-person voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Mail-in ballots were sent to all registered voters in the general election.
  • In-person voting: Counties were authorized to consolidate precincts and defer opening voting centers until the third day before the election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal defeated John Briscoe in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Alan Lowenthal
Alan Lowenthal (D)
 
63.3
 
197,028
Image of John Briscoe
John Briscoe (R) Candidate Connection
 
36.7
 
114,371

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 311,399
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Alan Lowenthal
Alan Lowenthal (D)
 
45.4
 
72,759
✔
Image of John Briscoe
John Briscoe (R) Candidate Connection
 
16.8
 
27,004
Image of Amy Phan West
Amy Phan West (R) Candidate Connection
 
14.5
 
23,175
Image of Peter Mathews
Peter Mathews (D)
 
11.0
 
17,616
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Jalen McLeod (D)
 
8.7
 
13,955
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Sou Moua (R)
 
3.7
 
5,866

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 160,375
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in California. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won California with 61.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 31.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, California voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, California voted Democratic all five times. In 2016, California had 55 electoral votes, which was the most of any state. The 55 electoral votes were 10.2 percent of all 538 available electoral votes and were 20.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in California. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 58 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 38.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 66 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 40.3 points. Clinton won 11 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 12.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 13 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 47th Congressional District the 103rd most Democratic nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.[5]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 47th Congressional District candidates in California in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
California 47th Congressional District All candidates 2,000 Fixed number $1,740.00 1% of annual salary 12/6/2019 Source

District election history

2018

See also: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal defeated John Briscoe in the general election for U.S. House California District 47 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Alan Lowenthal
Alan Lowenthal (D)
 
64.9
 
143,354
Image of John Briscoe
John Briscoe (R) Candidate Connection
 
35.1
 
77,682

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 221,036
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 47

Incumbent Alan Lowenthal and John Briscoe defeated David Clifford in the primary for U.S. House California District 47 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Alan Lowenthal
Alan Lowenthal (D)
 
60.6
 
70,539
✔
Image of John Briscoe
John Briscoe (R) Candidate Connection
 
21.6
 
25,122
Image of David Clifford
David Clifford (R)
 
17.8
 
20,687

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 116,348
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: California's 47th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Alan Lowenthal (D) defeated Andy Whallon (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Lowenthal and Whallon defeated Sanford Kahn (R) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.[10][11]

U.S. House, California District 47 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlan Lowenthal Incumbent 63.7% 154,759
     Republican Andy Whallon 36.3% 88,109
Total Votes 242,868
Source: California Secretary of State


U.S. House, California District 47 Primary, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlan Lowenthal Incumbent 66.1% 90,595
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAndy Whallon 21.9% 30,054
     Republican Sanford Kahn 11.9% 16,364
Total Votes 137,013
Source: California Secretary of State

2014

See also: California's 47th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 47th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Alan Lowenthal (D) defeated Andy Whallon (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, California District 47 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlan Lowenthal Incumbent 56% 69,091
     Republican Andy Whallon 44% 54,309
Total Votes 123,400
Source: California Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  4. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  5. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  6. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
  11. ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016


California's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Laphonza Butler (D)
Alex Padilla (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Ami Bera (D)
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Ro Khanna (D)
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
Jim Costa (D)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
Raul Ruiz (D)
District 26
District 27
District 28
Judy Chu (D)
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
Ted Lieu (D)
District 37
District 38
District 39
District 40
Young Kim (R)
District 41
District 42
District 43
District 44
District 45
District 46
District 47
District 48
District 49
District 50
District 51
District 52
Democratic Party (42)
Republican Party (12)


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