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Link to original content: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24816839
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. 2014 May 9;9(5):e96772.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0096772. eCollection 2014.

Secretarybird Sagittarius serpentarius population trends and ecology: insights from South African citizen science data

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Secretarybird Sagittarius serpentarius population trends and ecology: insights from South African citizen science data

Sally D Hofmeyr et al. PLoS One. .

Abstract

Data from two long-term citizen science projects were used to examine the status and ecology of a Red List species, the Secretarybird Sagittarius serpentarius (Vulnerable), in South Africa. The first phase of the Southern African Bird Atlas Project operated from 1987 until 1992, and the second phase began in 2007. The Coordinated Avifaunal Roadcounts (CAR) project began in 1993 and by 1998 had expanded to cover much of the south-eastern half of the country. Data submitted up until April 2013 were used. A new method of comparing reporting rates between atlas projects was developed. Changing reporting rates are likely to reflect changes in abundance; in this instance the data suggest that the Secretarybird population decreased across much of South Africa between the two atlas projects, with a widespread important decrease in the Kruger National Park. Habitat data from the CAR project were analysed to gain insight into the ecology of the species. Secretarybirds tended to avoid transformed habitats across much of the area covered by the CAR project. In the winter rainfall region of the Western Cape, which is characterised by heavily transformed fynbos vegetation, at least 50% of Secretarybirds recorded were in transformed environments. This implies that in the Fynbos biome, at least, Secretarybirds have adapted to transformed environments to some degree. However, in the rest of the country it is likely that habitat loss, largely through widespread bush encroachment but also through agriculture, afforestation, and urbanisation, is a major threat to the species. The methods developed here represent a new approach to analysing data from long-term citizen science projects, which can provide important insights into a species' conservation status and ecology.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Southern African Bird Atlas Project (SABAP) comparison map for the Secretarybird, extracted 19 April 2013.
This map compares SABAP1 and SABAP2 reporting rates. South African province names are given in black, neighbouring countries are labelled in grey, and the Kruger National Park, in the north-east of South Africa, is outlined in green. Coloured squares are quarter-degree grid cells (QDGCs; 15'×15') in which the species was observed in either project. Reporting rates are compared using the Z-statistic (see text). SABAP2 reporting rates were lower than SABAP1 in red, orange and yellow grid cells, and higher than SABAP1 in light and dark green and blue grid cells. In red grid cells Z<–2.58 (important decrease), in orange –2.58<Z<–1.64 (distinct decrease), and in yellow –1.64<Z<0 (decrease probably attributable to sampling variability). In light green grid cells 0≤Z<1.64 (increase probably attributable to sampling variability), in dark green 1.64<Z<2.58 (distinct increase), and in blue grid cells Z>2.58 (important increase). Pink grid cells are those which had not yet been covered in SABAP2. Therefore, red, orange and yellow grid cells indicate areas of potential conservation concern, whereas green and blue grid cells indicate areas of apparent population increase.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Coordinated Avifaunal Roadcounts (CAR) project survey routes and precincts.
Routes are indicated by thick grey lines, and precincts are outlined in black. CAR routes covered c. 19 000“KZN”, KwaZulu-Natal. Precincts were defined on the basis of ecological characteristics by Young et al. (within precincts the natural vegetation type and climatic conditions are more similar than between precincts) and precinct names follow Young et al. .
Figure 3
Figure 3. Numbers of quarter degree grid-cells (QDGCs) of different categories per province in Figure 1.
Numbers in brackets following the names of the provinces are the numbers of QDGCs in which Secretarybirds were ever recorded. SABAP2 reporting rates were smaller than SABAP1 in red, orange and yellow grid cells, and greater than SABAP1 in light and dark green and blue grid cells (see Figure 1). Pink grid cells are those which had not yet been covered in SABAP2.
Figure 4
Figure 4. Habitat selection by Secretarybirds observed in the CAR project, with CAR routes grouped by province.
Jacobs index values between –1 and zero indicate selection for transformed habitats, and between zero and +1 indicate selection for natural habitats. Each province is separated into summer (red bars) and winter (blue bars). Numbers below the bars are the number of routes on which Secretarybirds showed a preference for natural or transformed habitats, respectively. These numbers were tested using the sign test and the level of statistical significance is indicated beneath the numbers, as follows: *** for p<0.001, ** for p<0.01 and ns (not significant) for p>0.05.
Figure 5
Figure 5. Habitat use by Secretarybirds observed in the CAR project in (a) summer and (b) winter.
Data are presented for the 16 precincts for which there were sufficient data for habitat selection analyses. Numbers in brackets following the precinct name give the total number of birds recorded in that precinct in surveys conducted in that season, from the start of counts in that precinct until summer 2013. “Agric Land” consists mainly of ploughed, burned and mowed land but also includes other miscellaneous types of farmland; “stubble” indicates harvested crop fields, “crops” includes all cultivated crops, orchards and vineyards, and “veld” indicates natural vegetation.

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References

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Grants and funding

The University of the Witwatersrand University Research Committee and Tswalu Foundation funded SDH. LGU acknowledges support from the National Research Foundation, the University of Cape Town and the Harry Oppenheimer Memorial Fellowship. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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