China | An insurance policy against MAGA

Why China may be saving its bazooka for Donald Trump

The Communist Party may be hoarding fiscal firepower to offset a possible trade war  

Xi jinping surrounded by a montage of unfinished highrises, two Chinese children, a woman holding a clothing sale sign, a woman pushing a shopping trolley and the People's Bank of China, against an abstract background of red and yellow blocks.
Illustration: Klawe Rzeczy/Getty Images
|HONG KONG

OF ALL THE people anxiously watching America’s presidential election, spare a thought for Chinese investors. Their economy is already contending with a property slump that began more than three years ago and persistent deflation that began over 18 months ago. Now they must contemplate a possible return of Donald Trump to the White House, bringing the threat of steep tariffs in his wake.

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This article appeared in the China section of the print edition under the headline “Why China may be saving its bazooka”

From the November 2nd 2024 edition

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An employee works at the grain reserve warehouse of a soybean processing enterprise

Trump, trade and feeding China’s pigs

As a trade war looms, China looks to cut its reliance on America

A little black figure struggles to open a door in the back of Xi Jinping's head.

Helping America’s hawks get inside the head of Xi Jinping

China’s leader is a risk-taker. How far will he go in confronting America?


POlice stand outside a Hong Kong court where 45 pro-democracy activists are to be convicted

Snuffing out the flame of freedom in Hong Kong

Dozens of pro-democracy activists are thrown into jail for up to a decade 


China’s greatest dumpling run

A big gathering of young cyclists is ended by officials

A spate of horrific car-rammings shakes China

They are known as “revenge on society” attacks

Mega-polluter China believes it is a climate saviour 

It accounts for almost 40% of global investment in clean energy



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Comfort Ero offers three lessons for peacemaking in an unstable world

Global conflict is rising, but peacemaking is still vital, argues the president of International Crisis Group

illustration of three rubik's cubes, depicting different areas of the world

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Each hot issue brings a new global alliance


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The topics he cares about—immigration, trade and drugs—put the region in the crosshairs


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Sally Paine outlines how America should deal with the “quartet of chaos”

The professor of history and grand strategy at the US Naval War College says history offers valuable lessons

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A world in turmoil awaits Donald Trump in 2025

In his contempt for allies, the new president will probably add to the chaos

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If Europe wants peace, it must plan for war

But none of its major governments seems ready to face the future