2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
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The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.
22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis, as long as the candidate received at least 10% of the statewide vote. Any leftover delegates were to be added to the candidate that receives the most votes in the primary.[2] The New Hampshire primary was the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucuses. The primary was won by former President Donald Trump, defeating former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.
After most polls closed at 8:00 PM EST, media outlets began projecting a win for Trump.[3][4] Trump's eleven-point lead wound up equating to an edge just under 36,000 votes. Despite calls to drop out, Haley declined to withdraw from the race after the primary.[5] Trump became the first non-incumbent Republican candidate in American history to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary in the same election cycle.[6] Trump also broke the record of number of votes received for any candidate in New Hampshire primary history.[7]
Background
[edit]Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote. Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.[8]
Procedure
[edit]Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote.[2]
Candidates
[edit]The following candidates officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:[9]
- Scott Alan Ayers
- Ryan L. Binkley
- Robert S Carney Jr.
- John Anthony Castro
- Nikki Haley
- Peter Jedick
- Donald Kjornes
- Mary Maxwell
- Glenn J. McPeters
- Scott Peterson Merrell
- Darius L. Mitchell
- Sam Sloan
- David Stuckenberg
- Rachel Swift
- Donald Trump
- Perry Johnson (withdrew October 20)[10]
- Mike Pence (withdrew October 28)[11]
- Tim Scott (withdrew November 12)[12]
- Hirsh V. Singh (withdrew October 31)[13]
- Doug Burgum (withdrew December 4)[14]
- Chris Christie (withdrew January 10)[15]
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrew January 15)[16]
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrew January 16)[17]
- Ron DeSantis (withdrew January 21)[18]
Campaign
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In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.[19]
Nikki Haley's campaign purchased $10 million worth of ads to run in New Hampshire and Iowa beginning in December 2023.[20]
New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee",[21] though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.[22]
Endorsements
[edit]-
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire Senate.Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)Endorsed Donald Trump (1)No endorsement (11) -
Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the New Hampshire House of Representatives.Endorsed Donald Trump (51)Endorsed Ron DeSantis (26) (withdrawn)Endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy (7) (withdrawn)Endorsed Nikki Haley (3)Endorsed Larry Elder (1) (withdrawn)No endorsement (110)Non-Republicans (202)
Nikki Haley
Governor
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)[23]
- John H. Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (1983–1989), White House Chief of Staff (1989–1991)[24]
U.S. Senators
- Judd Gregg, (1993–2011)[25]
- John E. Sununu, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2003–2009), U.S. Representative from NH-01 (1997–2003)[24]
State Senator
- Bill Gannon, New Hampshire State Senator from the 23rd district (2016–2018, 2020–present)[26]
State Representative
- Michael Moffett, Merrimack's District 4 (2022–present), Merrimack's District 9 (2016–2018, 2020–2022)[27]
Mayor
- George Hansel, Keene (2020–2024)[28]
Notable Individual
- Don Bolduc, retired U.S. Army brigadier general and Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from New Hampshire in 2022[29]
Donald Trump
Former federal official
- Karoline Leavitt, White House Assistant Press Secretary (2020); Republican nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2022[30]
Former U.S. Senator
State Senators
- Kevin Avard, 12th district (2014–2018, 2020–present)[32]
- Chuck Morse, President of the New Hampshire Senate (2013–2018, 2020–2022) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[32]
State Representative
- Phyllis Katsakiores, Rockingham 6th (2014–present), Rockingham 5th (1984–2012)[32]
Notable individual
- Stephen Stepanek, chair of the New Hampshire Republican Party (2019–2023)[33]
Withdrawn candidates
[edit]Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Former U.S. Representative
- Charles Bass, U.S. Representative from NH-02 (1995–2007, 2011–2013)[34]
Former State Representative
- J.P. Marzullo, Hillsborough's District 2 (2018–2020)[35]
Larry Elder (withdrawn)
State legislator
- Julius Soti, New Hampshire State Representative from Rockingham's 35th district (2022–present)[36]
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
State Representatives
- Jason Osborne, Rockingham's District 4 (2014–present); Majority Leader (2020–present)[37]
- Lisa Smart, Belknap's District 2 (2022–present)[38]
- Matthew Simon, Grafton's District 1 (2020–present)[39]
- Brian Cole, Hillsborough's District 26 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[40]
- James Spillane, Rockingham's District 2 (2014–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[41]
- Katherine Prudhomme O'Brien, Rockingham's District 13 (2018–present)[39]
- Tom Dolan, Rockingham's District 16 (2018–present)[39]
- Kristine Perez, Rockingham's District 16 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[42]
- Debra DiSimone, Rockingham's District 18 (2022–present) (previously endorsed Donald Trump)[40]
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
State representatives
- Richard Brown, Carroll's District 3 (2022–present)[43]
- Fred Doucette, Rockingham's District 25 (2014–present); Deputy Majority Leader (2020–present)[44]
- David Love, Rockingham's District 13 (2022–present) and District 6 (2018–2022)[43]
- Mark McLean, Hillsborough's District 15 (2022–present), District 44 (2017–2022), and District 14 (2014–2016)[43]
- Fred Plett, Hillsborough's District 29 (2022–present) and Hillsborough District 6 (2018–2022)[43]
- David Rochefort, Grafton's District 1 (2022–present)[43]
- Susan Vandecasteele, Rockingham's District 25 (2022–present) and District 8 (2020–2022)[43]
- Peter Varney, Belknap's District 7 (2022–present)[43]
Polling
[edit]
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[45] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 35.7% | 56.5% | 7.8%[b] | Trump +20.8 |
| FiveThirtyEight[46] | Through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
| RealClearPolling[47] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.5% | 55.8% | 7.7% | Trump +19.3 |
| Average | 36.2% | 55.4% | 8.4% | Trump +19.2 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[48] | Jan 21–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
| Insider Advantage[49] | January 21, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ±4.32% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 3% |
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[50] | Jan 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2% | 2% |
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[51] | Jan 19–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 55% | 0.6% | 2.4% |
| American Research Group[52] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | – | 6% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – |
| Emerson College/WHDH[53] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 673 (RV) | ±3.7% | – | – | 8% | 35% | 50% | 7% | |||||
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[54] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[55] | Jan 16–17, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 50% | 1% | 4% |
| Saint Anselm College[56] | January 16, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | – | 6% | 38% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
| Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[57] | Jan 15–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 5% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 11% |
| American Research Group[58] | Jan 12–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 4% | 40% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 40% | 2% | 9% |
| Saint Anselm College[59] | Jan 8–9, 2024 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | 9% | 6% | 31% | – | – | 6% | – | 45% | – | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN[60] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 919 (LV) | ± 3.2% | – | 12% | 5% | 32% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 39% | 0% | 5% |
| American Research Group[61] | December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 10% | 5% | 33% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 37% | 1% | 9% |
| American Research Group[62] | Dec 14–20, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 13% | 6% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 33% | 1% | 12% |
| Saint Anselm College[63] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 12% | 6% | 30% | 0% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | 3% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[64] | Dec 7–18, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | 6% | 10% | 22% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 52% | 0%[d] | 5% |
| CBS News/YouGov[65] | Dec 8–15, 2023 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 11% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | – |
| Trafalgar Group[66] | Dec 9–11, 2023 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 14% | 11% | 18% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
| Americans for Prosperity[67] | Nov 19–21, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | – | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 40% | 26% | – |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN[68] | Nov 10–14, 2023 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 42% | 3% | 2% |
| Washington Post/Monmouth University[69] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 1% | – | 8% | 3% | 46% | 0% | 4% |
| Emerson College/WHDH[70] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 465 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 1.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 0.3% | – | 4.6% | 2.2% | 48.5% | – | 9.3% |
| USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University[71] | Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 19% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 49% | – | – |
| CBS News/YouGov[72] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 50% | 0%[e] | – |
| Saint Anselm College[73] | Sep 19–20, 2023 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45% | 0%[f] | 6% |
| Insider Advantage[74] | September 20, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.36% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 42% | 1%[g] | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire[75] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 39% | 1%[h] | 6% |
| NMB Research[76] | Aug 25–31, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 47% | <3%[i] | 4% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[77] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 11% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 48% | <3%[j] | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[78][A] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 34% | 3%[k] | 12% |
| Emerson College[79] | Aug 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | 49% | 3%[l] | 13% |
| co/efficient[80] | Aug 5–7, 2023 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 3%[m] | 13% |
| Manhattan Institute[81] | July 2023 | 603 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 34% | 3%[n] | 8% |
| National Research[82][B] | Jul 25–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 41% | – | 15% |
| University of New Hampshire[83] | Jul 13–17, 2023 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 1%[o] | 8% |
| National Research[84][B] | Jul 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 39% | – | 17% |
| American Pulse[85] | Jul 5–11, 2023 | 895 | ± 3.2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 3% | – | 5% | 5% | 7% | 48% | – | 8%[p] |
| Saint Anselm College[86] | Jun 21–23, 2023 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 47% | 0%[q] | 10% |
| New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient[87] | Jun 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 9% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 3% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 10% |
| – | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 28% | ||||
| National Research[88][B] | Jun 12–14, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 18%[r] | – |
| National Research[89][B] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32%[s] | – |
| University of New Hampshire[90] | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 1% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 42% | 20%[t] | 4% |
| J.L Partners[91] | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 2% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 51% | 19%[u] | 6% |
| – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
| Saint Anselm College[92] | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 19%[v] | – |
| Emerson College[93] | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 58% | 14%[w] | – |
| co/efficient[94] | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.35% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 37% | 13%[x] | 18% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire[95] | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | – | – | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 30% | 16%[y] | 3% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[96] | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
| WPA Intelligence[97][C] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
| Saint Anselm College[98] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 50% | 4%[z] | 8% |
| WPA Intelligence[97][C] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
| Neighborhood Research and Media[99][D] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 41% | 3%[aa] | 32% |
| University of New Hampshire[100] | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 37% | 6%[ab] | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire[101] | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 14%[ac] | 10% |
| University of New Hampshire[102] | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 13%[ad] | 10% |
| Saint Anselm College[103][E] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | 52% | 7%[ae] | 10% |
| Victory Insights[104] | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 14%[af] | – |
| – | – | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 29%[ag] | – | ||||
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
| Praecones Analytica[105] | Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 57% | 19%[ah] | 10% |
| – | – | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | 46%[ai] | 14% | ||||
Results
[edit]| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegate count[108] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 176,391 | 54.35% | 13 |
| Nikki Haley | 140,491 | 43.28% | 9 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 2,241 | 0.69% | |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,493 | 0.46% | |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 833 | 0.26% | |
| Joe Biden (Write-In) (Democrat) | 497 | 0.15% | |
| Mike Pence (withdrawn) | 404 | 0.12% | |
| Ryan Binkley | 315 | 0.10% | |
| Mary Maxwell | 287 | 0.09% | |
| Robert F. Kennedy (Write-In) (Independent) | 205 | 0.06% | |
| Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 196 | 0.06% | |
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 180 | 0.06% | |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 108 | 0.03% | |
| Rachel Swift | 105 | 0.03% | |
| Scott Ayers | 80 | 0.02% | |
| Dean Phillips (Write-In) (Democrat) | 79 | 0.02% | |
| Darius Mitchell | 74 | 0.02% | |
| Glenn McPeters | 49 | 0.02% | |
| "Ceasefire" (Write-In) | 34 | 0.01% | |
| Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 26 | 0.01% | |
| Peter Jedick | 25 | 0.01% | |
| David Stuckenberg | 25 | 0.01% | |
| Donald Kjornes | 23 | 0.01% | |
| Scott Merrell | 21 | 0.01% | |
| John Anthony Castro | 19 | 0.01% | |
| Robert Carney | 15 | <0.01% | |
| Marianne Williamson (Write-In) (Democrat) | 14 | <0.01% | |
| Hirsh Singh (withdrawn) | 9 | <0.01% | |
| Sam Sloan | 7 | <0.01% | |
| Vermin Supreme (Write-In) (Democrat) | 3 | <0.01% | |
| Mark Steward Greenstein (Write-In) (Democrat) | 1 | <0.01% | |
| Other write-in votes | 325 | 0.10% | |
| Total: | 324,575 | 100.00% | 22 |
By county and municipality
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See also
[edit]- 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Ron DeSantis 7.3%
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
- ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
- ^ Suarez with 0%
- ^ Undecided, Other & Refused
- ^ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
- ^ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
- ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
References
[edit]- ^ "New Hampshire Primary 2024: Nikki Haley wins all 6 votes in midnight voting". WMUR. January 23, 2024. Archived from the original on January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "New Hampshire Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. January 11, 2024. Archived from the original on January 14, 2024. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Trump wins New Hampshire primary". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "New Hampshire primary live updates: Biden and Trump win, NBC News projects". NBC News. January 24, 2024. Archived from the original on January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Stein, Chris. "Nikki Haley vows to stay in race despite Trump's win in New Hampshire primary – live". The Guardian. Archived from the original on January 23, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex; McGraw, Meridith (January 23, 2024). "Trump wins New Hampshire". Politico. Archived from the original on January 24, 2024. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "Fact Check: Did Donald Trump Win Record Number of Votes in New Hampshire?". Newsweek. January 24, 2024. Archived from the original on February 1, 2024. Retrieved February 1, 2024.
- ^ "New Hampshire Exit Polls". The New York Times. February 9, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on June 19, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
- ^ "Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 28, 2023. Retrieved October 28, 2023.
- ^ Tabet, Alex (October 20, 2023). "Perry Johnson drops out of 2024 presidential race". NBC News. Archived from the original on November 7, 2023. Retrieved November 3, 2023.
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- ^ Vakil, Caroline (November 12, 2023). "Tim Scott suspends 2024 GOP primary bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
- ^ David Wildstein (October 31, 2023). "Hirsh Singh ends ludicrous White House bid". New Jersey Globe. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
- ^ Manchester, Julia (December 4, 2023). "Burgum suspends 2024 GOP presidential campaign". The Hill. Archived from the original on December 4, 2023. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ Krieg, Gregory (January 10, 2024). "Chris Christie ends 2024 presidential campaign". CNN. Archived from the original on January 10, 2024. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
- ^ Barrow, Bill (December 16, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy suspends his 2024 Republican presidential bid and endorses rival Donald Trump". Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
- ^ Frankel, Jillian (January 16, 2024). "Asa Hutchinson drops out of the 2024 presidential race". NBC news. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
- ^ Hernández, Alec; Dixon, Matt; Burns, Dasha; Allen, Jonathan (January 21, 2024). "Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump". NBC News. Archived from the original on January 21, 2024. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (January 28, 2023). "Trump makes his first big move in New Hampshire". Politico. Archived from the original on September 26, 2023. Retrieved October 31, 2023.
- ^ Peoples, Steve (November 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley will launch a $10M ad campaign to try to overtake Ron DeSantis in the GOP primary". Associated Press. Archived from the original on November 13, 2023. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
- ^ Allen, Jonathan; Korecki, Natasha (February 8, 2023). "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu takes a major step toward running for president". NBC News. Archived from the original on March 2, 2023. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- ^ Maher, Kit; Bradner, Eric (June 5, 2023). "CNN Exclusive: New Hampshire GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not run for president in 2024". CNN. Archived from the original on June 5, 2023. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- ^ Kinnard, Meg; Ramer, Holly (December 12, 2023). "Haley gets endorsement from Gov. Chris Sununu ahead of pivotal New Hampshire primary". Associated Press. Archived from the original on December 13, 2023. Retrieved December 12, 2023.
- ^ a b Lips, Evan (January 3, 2024). "Bigger Crowds, New Endorsements as Haley Returns to NH". NH Journal. Archived from the original on January 3, 2024. Retrieved January 5, 2024.
- ^ Vakil, Caroline (October 25, 2023). "Former NH Sen. Judd Gregg endorses Haley presidential bid". The Hill. Archived from the original on October 30, 2023. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
- ^ Gannon, Bill (October 12, 2023). "Op-Eds: Senator Bill Gannon: Haley has the experience and character to be president". New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived from the original on October 25, 2023. Retrieved November 17, 2023.
- ^ Moffett, Mike (November 20, 2023). "MOFFETT: Nikki Haley, the Presidency and 'Je Ne Sais Quoi'". NH Journal. Archived from the original on December 23, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ "Sununu endorses Nikki Haley for president". The Keene Sentinel. December 12, 2023. Archived from the original on December 21, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ Porter, Steven (February 16, 2023). "Nikki Haley teams up with Don Bolduc for N.H. town halls". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
- ^ Signan, Brooke (April 3, 2022). "Karoline Leavitt to join Trump super PAC as spokeswoman". Fox News. Archived from the original on April 13, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ Daughtery, Eric (August 8, 2023). "Trump kicks off New Hampshire 'Veterans for Trump Coalition' with Florida Rep. Brian Mast". Florida's Voice. Archived from the original on August 8, 2023. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
- ^ a b c Gancarski, A.G. (December 16, 2023). "Donald Trump trumpets more New Hampshire endorsements, momentum". Florida Politics. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 16, 2023.
- ^ Reid, Tim (January 27, 2023). "'Trump fatigue' in New Hampshire complicates 2024 White House bid". Reuters. Archived from the original on January 28, 2023. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
- ^ Query, Meg (November 20, 2023). "Former Congressman Charlie Bass endorses Republican presidential candidate Chris Christie in 2024 presidential primary". WMUR9 News. Archived from the original on November 21, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ Colvin, Jill (June 7, 2023). "Christie goes after Trump in presidential campaign launch, calling him a 'self-serving mirror hog'". Associated Press. Archived from the original on June 8, 2023. Retrieved June 9, 2023.
- ^ Soti, Julius (August 1, 2023). "Rep. Julius Soti: Larry Elder is a vote for the American Dream". New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived from the original on August 8, 2023. Retrieved September 15, 2023.
- ^ "New Hampshire House majority leader endorses DeSantis". WHNT. May 4, 2023. Archived from the original on May 4, 2023. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
- ^ Ramirez, Isabella (May 16, 2023). "Four NH Republicans Flip Endorsements From Trump to DeSantis". The Daily Beast. Archived from the original on June 5, 2023. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
- ^ a b c Scheckner, Jesse (May 26, 2023). "Ron DeSantis adds 5 more New Hampshire endorsements". Archived from the original on May 26, 2023. Retrieved May 27, 2023.
- ^ a b "2 Republicans on DeSantis' N.H. endorsement list say they still back Trump". NBC News. May 16, 2023. Archived from the original on June 19, 2023. Retrieved June 19, 2023.
- ^ Graham, Michael (June 1, 2023). "Trump Loses NHGOP Rep Endorsement to DeSantis Over Treatment of Fox News Host". NH Journal. Archived from the original on June 1, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ Scheckner, Jesse (May 26, 2023). "Ron DeSantis Adds 5 More New Hampshire Endorsements". Florida Politics. Archived from the original on June 6, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g Graham, Michael (May 23, 2023). "Ramaswamy Rolls Out 47 Granite State Endorsements". NH Journal. Archived from the original on June 9, 2023. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
- ^ Lizza, Ryan; Bade, Rachael; Daniels, Eugene (April 6, 2023). "Playbook: A 'five-alarm warning' for the GOP". Politico. Archived from the original on April 6, 2023. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ RealClearPolling
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Americans for Prosperity
- ^ University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN
- ^ Washington Post/Monmouth University
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ NMB Research
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ Manhattan Institute
- ^ National Research
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ National Research
- ^ American Pulse
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient
- ^ National Research
- ^ National Research
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ J.L Partners
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Neighborhood Research and Media
- ^ a b WPA Intelligence
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Neighborhood Research and Media
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ "Victory Insights" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 18, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ Praecones Analytica
- ^ "2024 Republican Presidential Primary Election Results – Summary by Counties". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by Write-ins – Summary by Counties". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 New Hampshire presidential primary results". AP.