Central Nova

Central Nova
Nova Scotia electoral district
	Central Nova in relation to the other Nova Scotia federal electoral districts
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Sean Fraser; Liberal
;
District created	1966
First contested	1968
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)	71,962
Electors (2021)	60,073
Area (km²)	9,308
Pop. density (per km²)	7.7
Census division(s)	Antigonish ; Guysborough ; Halifax ; Pictou
Census subdivision(s)	Halifax, New Glasgow, Stellarton, Antigonish, Pictou, Westville, Trenton, St. Mary's

Central Nova (French: Nova-Centre) is a federal electoral district in Nova Scotia, Canada that was represented in the House of Commons of Canada from 1968 until 1996. In 1996, Antigonish County and part of Guysborough County were placed with Pictou County in a new electoral boundaries configuration to form the electoral district of Pictou-Antigonish-Guysborough. A new version of Central Nova was established in 2003^[2] and — in conjunction with the Pictou-Antigonish-Guysborough iteration — represented a significant electoral boundaries change with specific reference to Antigonish County. Between 1867 and 1997, Antigonish County was not in a riding that included Pictou County; rather, it comprised either its own electoral district (Antigonish), or part of other districts shared with Eastern Nova Scotia (Antigonish-Guysborough)^[3] and Cape Breton Island communities (Cape Breton Highlands Canso, 1968–1997).^[4] In 2013, part of Antigonish County was "placed back" with communities in the electoral district of Cape Breton Canso,^[5] a riding which had emerged in part from the former Cape Breton Highlands Canso riding in 1996.^[5] The current version of Central Nova includes Pictou County, parts of Antigonish and Guysborough Counties (including the Town of Antigonish and the Municipality of the District of St. Mary's) and extends into Halifax Regional Municipality.^[6]

Demographics

Historical population
Year	Pop.	±%
2001	74,445	—
2006	72,966	−2.0%
2011 (2003 redist.)	72,114	−1.2%
2011 (2015 redist.)	74,597	+3.4%
2016	71,962	−3.5%

From the 2021 census^[7]

Ethnic groups:

White: 91.4%
First Nations: 1.1%
Black: 1.8%

Languages:

English: 95.4%
French: 1.1%
Dutch: 0.2%
Other: 3.3%

Religions:

Protestant: 36.5%
Catholic: 27.6%
No religious affiliation: 34.0%

Age:

0 to 14 years: 13.8%
15 to 64 years: 60.1%
65 years and over: 26.1%
85 years and over: 2.8%

Median Age:

50.0

Median total income:

$32,000

Average total income:

$40,520

Median household income:

$66,500

Average household income:

$81,600

Geography

The district covers all or part of the following counties:

Specifically, it includes the following municipal corporations:

Municipality of the County of Pictou
The towns of New Glasgow, Stellarton, Pictou, Westville, Trenton, and Antigonish
Municipality of the County of Antigonish
Municipality of the District of St. Mary's
Halifax Regional Municipality (east of Jeddore Oyster Pond and Marinette).

Communities include:

Pictou County

Antigonish County (as part of the county portion placed in Central Nova)

Antigonish

Guysborough County (as part of the county portion placed in Central Nova)

Halifax County (as part of the county portion placed in Central Nova)

The electoral district has an area of 8,439 km².

Political geography

In 2008, the riding had the unusual scenario of having Green Party leader Elizabeth May run without any Liberal opposition. Thus, the race was mostly between Conservative candidate Peter MacKay and May. May's support was concentrated in the community of Antigonish. Outside this area, she won just a few pockets of support. She was nearly shut out in the New Glasgow metropolitan area, where she won just one poll. MacKay won most of the rest of the riding, and the NDP picked up three polls.^[8]

History

The district was created in 1966 from Antigonish—Guysborough (with part of Guysborough added to Central Nova, while Antigonish County and a portion of Guysborough were placed with the Cape Breton Highlands Canso riding),^[4] Colchester—Hants, and Pictou. In sum, in 1966, Central Nova consisted of Pictou County, southern Colchester County, eastern Halifax County, and western Guysborough County.^[9] In 1976, it gained some territory in Halifax County (eastern central portion), and it lost its territory in Colchester County. In 1987, it lost most of Guysborough County except for the most extreme western point, and gained all of central and central western Halifax County. In 1996, it was merged into Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough, and Sackville—Eastern Shore.

The electoral district was re-created in 2003: 93.3% of the riding came from Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough riding, and 6.7% came from Sackville—Musquodoboit Valley—Eastern Shore. In the 2004 election, Conservative Party candidate Peter MacKay, who had represented Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough, was returned to the House of Commons from Central Nova. He was re-elected in the 2006 election.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May contested the seat in the 2008 federal election. In a move that startled political observers, Liberal leader Stéphane Dion announced on April 13, 2007, that his party would not contest the seat in order to give May a better chance of winning, a move that marked the first time in decades that the Liberals did not field a full slate of candidates in a general election. In return, the Greens (who also fielded a full slate in the last election) did not contest Dion's Montreal riding. After coming in second to Peter MacKay, May announced she would not run in Central Nova in the next federal election.

Its new boundaries, determined during 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution, have been legally defined in the 2013 representation order. The new boundaries encompass most of the pre-2012 riding as well as a portion of Nova Scotia represented in the current electoral districts of Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley and Sackville—Eastern Shore. It lost 9% of its previous territory to Cape Breton—Canso,^[10] territory that, for decades prior to this, had already been part of Cape Breton Highlands Canso.^[4] It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, which took place on 19 October 2015.^[11]

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Central Nova Riding created from Antigonish—Guysborough, Colchester—Hants and Pictou
28th	1968–1971	Russell MacEwan	Progressive Conservative
28th	1971–1972	Elmer MacKay
29th	1972–1974
30th	1974–1979
31st	1979–1980
32nd	1980–1983
32nd	1983–1984	Brian Mulroney
33rd	1984–1988	Elmer MacKay
34th	1988–1993	Elmer MacKay
35th	1993–1997	Roseanne Skoke	Liberal
Riding dissolved into Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough and Sackville—Eastern Shore
Riding re-created from Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough and Sackville—Musquodoboit Valley—Eastern Shore
38th	2004–2006	Peter MacKay	Conservative
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015
42nd	2015–2019	Sean Fraser	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present

Election results

Graph of election results in Central Nova from 2003-present (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021

v t e 2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Sean Fraser	18,682	45.89	-0.4	$88,208.43
	Conservative	Steven Cotter	13,060	32.08	+2.6	$38,393.01
	New Democratic	Betsy MacDonald	6,225	15.29	+2.3	$11,093.54
	People's	Al Muir	1,445	3.55	+1.5	$0.00
	Green	Katerina Nikas	494	1.21	-6.6	$0.00
	Independent	Harvey Henderson	365	0.90	N/A	$0.00
	Communist	Chris Frazer	138	0.34	-0.1	$0.00
	Rhinoceros	Ryan Smyth	65	0.16	N/A	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			40,474	99.4	+0.3	$107,714.33
Total rejected ballots			236	0.58	-0.3
Turnout			40,710	66.7	-7.8
Registered voters			61,073
	Liberal hold		Swing		-1.5
Source: Elections Canada^[12]^[13]^[14]

2021 federal election redistributed results^[15]
Party		Vote	%
	Liberal	18,031	44.30
	Conservative	13,370	32.85
	New Democratic	6,572	16.15
	People's	1,624	3.99
	Green	620	1.52
	Others	484	1.19

2019

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Sean Fraser	20,718	46.59	−11.94	$99,263.87
	Conservative	George Canyon	13,201	29.69	+3.89	$89,511.25
	New Democratic	Betsy MacDonald	5,806	13.06	+2.82	none listed
	Green	Barry Randle	3,478	7.82	+3.68	$6,467.76
	People's	Al Muir	938	2.11	New	$2,862.69
	Communist	Chris Frazer	180	0.40	New	$749.95
	Independent	Michael Slowik	149	0.33	New	$0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,470	100.0		$102,724.82
Total rejected ballots			412	0.92	+0.40
Turnout			44,882	74.49	−0.19
Eligible voters			60,251
	Liberal hold		Swing		−7.92
Source: Elections Canada^[16]

2015

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Sean Fraser	25,909	58.53	+44.58	$113,362.49
	Conservative	Fred DeLorey	11,418	25.80	–29.49	$109,137.26
	New Democratic	Ross Landry	4,532	10.24	–16.57	$63,038.54
	Green	David Hachey	1,834	4.14	+0.34	$11,206.15
	Independent	Alexander J. MacKenzie	570	1.29	–	–
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,263	100.00		$204,540.28
Total rejected ballots			233	0.52
Turnout			44,496	74.68
Eligible voters			59,585
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+37.04
Source: Elections Canada^[17]^[18]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[19]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	21,494	55.29
	New Democratic	10,422	26.81
	Liberal	5,424	13.95
	Green	1,479	3.80
	Others	57	0.15

2011

v t e 2011 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Peter MacKay	21,593	56.79	+10.19	$66,993.75
	New Democratic	David Parker	9,412	24.75	+5.19	$22,391.41
	Liberal	John Hamilton	5,614	14.76	–	$38,162.02
	Green	Matthew Chisholm	1,406	3.70	-28.54	$3,941.29
Total valid votes/expense limit			38,025	100.0		$83,138.94
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			226	0.59	-0.18
Turnout			38,251	65.00	-2.01
Eligible voters			57,963
	Conservative hold		Swing		+2.50
Sources:^[20]^[21]

2008

v t e 2008 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Peter MacKay	18,240	46.60	+5.94	$61,468.89
	Green	Elizabeth May	12,620	32.24	+30.65	$57,490.60
	New Democratic	Louise Lorifice	7,659	19.56	-13.33	$39,917.36
	Christian Heritage	Michael Harris MacKay	427	1.09	–	none listed
	Canadian Action	Paul Kemp	196	0.50	–	$87.79
Total valid votes/expense limit			39,142	100.0		$80,462
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			304	0.77	+0.42
Turnout			39,446	67.01	-2.16
Eligible voters			58,863
	Conservative hold		Swing		-24.71

2006

v t e 2006 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Peter MacKay	17,134	40.66	-2.61	$55,938.56
	New Democratic	Alexis MacDonald	13,861	32.89	+5.23	$28,582.28
	Liberal	Dan Walsh	10,349	24.56	-1.83	$43,064.69
	Green	David Orton	671	1.59	-1.09	$901.04
	Marxist–Leninist	Allan H. Bezanson	124	0.29	–	none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit			42,139	100.0		$75,651
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			147	0.35	-0.17
Turnout			42,286	69.17	+3.85
Eligible voters			61,137
	Conservative hold		Swing		-3.92

2004

v t e 2004 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Peter MacKay	16,376	43.27	-8.13	$53,745.97
	New Democratic	Alexis MacDonald	10,470	27.66	+14.84	$25,231.91
	Liberal	Susan Green	9,986	26.39	-3.95	$44,229.04
	Green	Rebecca Mosher	1,015	2.68	–	$222.50
Total valid votes/expense limit			37,847	100.0		$73,053
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots			198	0.52
Turnout			38,045	65.32	-0.92
Eligible voters			58,240
	Conservative notional gain from Progressive Conservative		Swing		-11.48
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.

2000 federal election redistributed results
Party		Vote	%
	Progressive Conservative	17,969	47.53
	Liberal	11,471	30.34
	New Democratic	4,845	12.82
	Alliance	2,976	7.87
	Others	541	1.43

Graph of election results in Central Nova from 1966-1996 (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

1993

v t e 1993 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Roseanne Skoke	16,399	43.61	+5.22
	Progressive Conservative	Ken Streatch	11,916	31.69	-16.89
	Reform	Howard Mackinnon	6,068	16.14
	New Democratic	Hugh Mackenzie	2,446	6.50	-6.52
	National	Gerard W. Horgan	511	1.36
	Natural Law	Pulkesh Lakhanpal	266	0.71
Total valid votes			37,606	100.00

1988

v t e 1988 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	19,065	48.58	-12.42
	Liberal	Marion Anderson	15,066	38.39	+12.39
	New Democratic	Gloria Murphy	5,110	13.02	+0.02
Total valid votes			39,241	100.00

1984

v t e 1984 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	21,462	61.00	+0.81
	Liberal	Al Lomas	9,148	26.00	+0.95
	New Democratic	Gloria E. Murphy	4,572	13.00	-0.39
Total valid votes			35,182	100.00

1983 by-election

Canadian federal by-election, 29 August 1983 On the resignation of Elmer MacKay, 15 June 1983
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Brian Mulroney	18,882	60.19	+12.16
	Liberal	Alvin Sinclair	7,858	25.05	-9.21
	New Democratic	Roy G. Demarsh	4,202	13.39	-4.32
	Independent	Anne McBride	287	0.91
	Independent	Bob Robert Kirk	97	0.31
	Independent	John Turmel	46	0.15
Total valid votes			31,372	100.00

1980

v t e 1980 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	15,576	48.03	-8.55
	Liberal	Alvin Sinclair	11,111	34.26	+4.37
	New Democratic	Gary A. Chambers	5,743	17.71	+4.18
Total valid votes			32,430	100.00
lop.parl.ca

1979

v t e 1979 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	18,907	56.58	+2.65
	Liberal	Lloyd P. Mackay	9,988	29.89	-6.41
	New Democratic	Gary A. Chambers	4,521	13.53	+4.67
Total valid votes			33,416	100.00

1974

v t e 1974 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	17,459	53.93	-3.02
	Liberal	Fern Dunn	11,753	36.30	+7.33
	New Democratic	John Rod Brown	2,869	8.86	-3.98
	Social Credit	John J. Henderson	292	0.90	-0.34
Total valid votes			32,373	100.00

1972

v t e 1972 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	18,259	56.95	+4.37
	Liberal	D. Laurence Mawhinney	9,288	28.97	-9.37
	New Democratic	John Rod Brown	4,117	12.84	+6.20
	Social Credit	John J. Henderson	397	1.24	-1.20
Total valid votes			32,061	100.00

1971 by-election

Canadian federal by-election, 31 May 1971 On the resignation of Russell MacEwan, 14 January 1971
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Elmer MacKay	15,359	52.58	-5.99
	Liberal	Clarrie Mackinnon	11,200	38.34	+5.07
	New Democratic	Allan M. Marchbank	1,940	6.64	-1.52
	Social Credit	John J. Henderson	714	2.44
Total valid votes			29,213	100.00

1968

v t e 1968 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Progressive Conservative	Russell MacEwan	16,720	58.57
	Liberal	Donald F. Stewart	9,499	33.27
	New Democratic	Leo F. McKay	2,330	8.16
Total valid votes			28,549	100.00

References

"Central Nova (Code 12002) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

^ ^a ^b Statistics Canada: 2012
^ "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ ^a ^b "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ Canada, Library of Parliament. "Central Nova, Nova Scotia (2004-05-23 - )". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ "Census Profile, 2021 Census, Statistics Canada - Validation Error".
^ "Riding « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections".
^ "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
^ Commission's Report – Nova Scotia
^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
^ "Confirmed candidates — Central Nova". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
^ "September 20, 2021 General Election - Election Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 10, 2021.
^ "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "Results Validated by the Returning Officer". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 25, 2019.
^ "October 19, 2015 Election Results — Central Nova (Validated results)". Elections Canada. October 21, 2015. Retrieved October 24, 2015.
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived August 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
^ Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
^ Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election

External links

[ReferenceA-1] Statistics Canada: 2012

[2] "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[3] "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[Profile-4] "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[lop.parl.ca-5] "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[6] Canada, Library of Parliament. "Central Nova, Nova Scotia (2004-05-23 - )". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[statCAN2006-7] "Census Profile, 2021 Census, Statistics Canada - Validation Error".

[8] "Riding « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections".

[9] "Profile". lop.parl.ca. Retrieved June 21, 2022.

[report-10] Commission's Report – Nova Scotia

[timeline-11] Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts

[12] "Confirmed candidates — Central Nova". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 20, 2021.

[13] "September 20, 2021 General Election - Election Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 10, 2021.

[14] "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved July 19, 2022.

[15] "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[16] "Results Validated by the Returning Officer". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 25, 2019.

[17] "October 19, 2015 Election Results — Central Nova (Validated results)". Elections Canada. October 21, 2015. Retrieved October 24, 2015.

[18] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived August 15, 2015, at the Wayback Machine

[19] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

[20] Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011

[21] Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election

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