Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2015

Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by French Hill (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Arkansas representatives represented an average of 753,439 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 731,557 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Marcus Jones in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
59.3
 
178,196
Image of Marcus Jones
Marcus Jones (D)
 
40.7
 
122,272

Total votes: 300,468
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Marcus Jones advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
Image of Marcus Jones
Marcus Jones

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
Image of French Hill
French Hill

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Quintessa Hathaway and Michael White in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
60.0
 
147,975
Image of Quintessa Hathaway
Quintessa Hathaway (D)
 
35.3
 
86,887
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)
 
4.7
 
11,584

Total votes: 246,446
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Quintessa Hathaway advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Conrad Reynolds in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill
 
58.5
 
49,488
Image of Conrad Reynolds
Conrad Reynolds Candidate Connection
 
41.5
 
35,078

Total votes: 84,566
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Michael White advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on February 20, 2022.

Candidate
Image of Michael White
Michael White (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Joyce Elliott in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
55.4
 
184,093
Image of Joyce Elliott
Joyce Elliott (D) Candidate Connection
 
44.6
 
148,410

Total votes: 332,503
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joyce Elliott advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2.

2018

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill defeated Clarke Tucker and Joe Swafford in the general election for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of French Hill
French Hill (R)
 
52.1
 
132,125
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker (D)
 
45.8
 
116,135
Image of Joe Swafford
Joe Swafford (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.0
 
5,193

Total votes: 253,453
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Clarke Tucker defeated Gwen Combs, Paul Spencer, and Jonathan Dunkley in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Clarke Tucker
Clarke Tucker
 
57.8
 
23,325
Image of Gwen Combs
Gwen Combs
 
20.3
 
8,188
Image of Paul Spencer
Paul Spencer
 
12.5
 
5,063
Image of Jonathan Dunkley
Jonathan Dunkley
 
9.3
 
3,768

Total votes: 40,344
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2

Incumbent French Hill advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 2 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
Image of French Hill
French Hill

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Arkansas' 1st Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent French Hill (R) defeated Dianne Curry (D), Chris Hayes (L), and write-in candidates Mathew Wescott and Charles Neely in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hill defeated Brock Olree in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016.[1][2][3]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill Incumbent 58.3% 176,472
     Democratic Dianne Curry 36.8% 111,347
     Libertarian Chris Hayes 4.7% 14,342
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 303
Total Votes 302,464
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State


U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill Incumbent 84.5% 86,474
Brock Olree 15.5% 15,811
Total Votes 102,285
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

2014

SimmeringRace.jpg
See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tim Griffin did not seek re-election. French Hill (R) defeated Patrick Hays (D) and Debbie Standiford (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrench Hill 51.9% 123,073
     Democratic Patrick Hays 43.6% 103,477
     Libertarian Debbie Standiford 4.5% 10,590
     N/A Write-in 0.1% 190
Total Votes 237,330
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State

2012

See also: Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Tim Griffin won re-election in the district.

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Herb Rule 39.5% 113,156
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTim Griffin Incumbent 55.2% 158,175
     Green Barbara Ward 3% 8,566
     Libertarian Chris Hayes 2.3% 6,701
Total Votes 286,598
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"


2010
On November 2, 2010, Tim Griffin won election to the United States House. He defeated Joyce Elliott (D), Lance Levi (I) and Lewis Kennedy (G) in the general election.[4]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTim Griffin 57.9% 122,091
     Democratic Joyce Elliott 38.3% 80,687
     Independent Lance Levi 2.1% 4,421
     Green Lewis Kennedy 1.7% 3,599
Total Votes 210,798


2008
On November 4, 2008, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Deb McFarland (G) and Danial Suits (Write-in) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 76.5% 212,303
     Green Deb McFarland 23.2% 64,398
     Write-in Danial Suits 0.2% 665
Total Votes 277,366


2006
On November 7, 2006, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Andy Mayberry (R) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 60.5% 124,871
     Republican Andy Mayberry 39.5% 81,432
Total Votes 206,303


2004
On November 2, 2004, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Marvin Parks (R) and William Gabriel (Write-in) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 58.2% 160,834
     Republican Marvin Parks 41.8% 115,655
     Write-in William Gabriel 0% 4
Total Votes 276,493


2002
On November 5, 2002, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ed Garner (Write-in) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 92.9% 142,752
     Write-in Ed Garner 7.1% 10,874
Total Votes 153,626


2000
On November 7, 2000, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bob Thomas (R) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 57.5% 126,957
     Republican Bob Thomas 42.5% 93,692
Total Votes 220,649


1998
On November 3, 1998, Vic Snyder won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Phil Wyrick (R) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 1998
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder incumbent 58% 100,334
     Republican Phil Wyrick 42% 72,737
Total Votes 173,071


1996
On November 5, 1996, Vic Snyder won election to the United States House. He defeated Bud Cummins (R) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 1996
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVic Snyder 52.3% 114,841
     Republican Bud Cummins 47.7% 104,548
Total Votes 219,389


1994
On November 8, 1994, Ray Thornton won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Bill Powell (R) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 1994
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRay Thornton incumbent 57.4% 97,580
     Republican Bill Powell 42.6% 72,473
Total Votes 170,053


1992
On November 3, 1992, Ray Thornton won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dennis Scott (R) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 1992
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRay Thornton incumbent 74.2% 154,946
     Republican Dennis Scott 25.8% 53,978
Total Votes 208,924


1990
On November 6, 1990, Ray Thornton won election to the United States House. He defeated Jim Keet (R) in the general election.[14]

U.S. House, Arkansas District 2 General Election, 1990
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRay Thornton 60.4% 103,471
     Republican Jim Keet 39.6% 67,800
Total Votes 171,271


District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Arkansas after the 2020 census

On January 14, 2022, Arkansas' congressional map went into effect.[15] The Arkansas General Assembly approved the congressional map plan on Oct. 6, 2021.[16] On October 13, 2021,Gov. Asa Hutchinson announced he would not sign the plans into law, and, instead, let them go into effect without his signature.[17] On November 4, 2021, Attorney General Leslie Rutledge (R) released a legal opinion establishing January 14, 2022 as the map's effective date.[18] This map took effect for Arkansas' 2022 congressional elections.

Lawmakers approved two separate bills, both of which contained identical proposed lines: House Bill 1982 (HB 1982) and Senate Bill 743 (SB 743). The House voted 59-30 in favor of HB 1982 and 53-35 in favor of SB 743. The Senate voted 21-12 in favor of HB 1982 and 22-10 in favor of SB 743.

How does redistricting in Arkansas work? The Arkansas General Assembly is responsible for drawing congressional district lines. Both chambers of the state legislature must approve a single redistricting plan. The governor may veto the lines drawn by the state legislature.[19]

Arkansas' state legislative district lines are drawn by a politician commission, the Arkansas Board of Apportionment. The commission comprises the governor, the secretary of state, and the attorney general.[19]

The Arkansas Constitution requires that Arkansas State Senate district lines be "contiguous, and that they follow county lines except where necessary to comply with other legal requirements." There are no such requirements in place for congressional districts.[19]

Arkansas District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arkansas District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


2010-2011

This is the 2nd Congressional District of Arkansas after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Arkansas after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Arkansas State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 154th most Republican district nationally.[20]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 55.2%-42.1%.[21]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd the 152nd most Republican district nationally.[22]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 42.1% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 55.2%.[23]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District the 169th most Republican nationally.[24]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[25]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Arkansas Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," accessed November 10, 2015
  2. The New York Times, "Arkansas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  3. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  4. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013
  15. State of Arkansas, Attorney General Leslie Rutledge, "Opinion No. 2021-092," November 4, 2021
  16. AP News, "Arkansas redistrict plan splitting Pulaski County advances," October 6, 2021
  17. AP News, "Arkansas governor OKs House map splitting Little Rock area," October 13, 2021
  18. State of Arkansas, Attorney General Leslie Rutledge, "Opinion No. 2021-092," November 4, 2021
  19. 19.0 19.1 19.2 All About Redistricting, "Arkansas," accessed April 20, 2015
  20. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  21. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  22. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  23. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  24. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  25. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)